Grep · sample report

Market Sizing — A top-down and bottom-up market size estimate with sources, assumptions and growth drivers.

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Inputs used for this sample
Market Sizing

Market or product: B2B expense management software

Region (optional): Europe

European B2B Expense Management Software: TAM of About €2.6B (Range €1.2B to €5.3B)

Bottom line

My base-case bottom-up estimate puts the European TAM for B2B expense management software at about €2.6B a year (calculation, range €1.2B to €5.3B), built from official EU enterprise counts and my own labelled assumptions on adoption and price. The only published Europe-wide figure I could read in full is USD 2.17 billion for 2025, rising to USD 5.72 billion by 2035 at a 9.6% CAGR (Next Move Strategy Consulting), which falls inside my range in order of magnitude only (currencies unconverted, scopes differ). SAM, defined as companies with 10 to 249 employees, is about €1.3B (range €0.6B to €2.9B). SOM for a new entrant over three to five years is roughly €13M to €39M (inference, 1% to 3% of SAM). Confidence is medium to low: no paywall-free report gives a clean, comparable European figure, and the bottom-up depends on assumptions I could not source. I read "B2B expense management software" as employee expense reporting, corporate and virtual cards with expense control, and travel and expense modules, sold to businesses in Europe (EU-27 plus an uplift for the UK and other non-EU countries).

Market definition

Published estimates

Source Publisher Published Base year Value CAGR Scope notes
Europe Expense Management Software Market Next Move Strategy Consulting Page shows latest edition 30 Sep 2026 2025 USD 2.17B (2025); USD 2.51B (2026); USD 5.72B (2035) 9.6% (2026 to 2035) Broadest scope: T&E, cards, ERP modules; revenue streams include software, services, and card and payment
Europe Travel and Expense Management Software Market Data Bridge Market Research Not stated on page 2024 USD 72.93M (2024); USD 124.38M (2032) 6.9% (2025 to 2032) The page states this as the Europe T&E figure; it is far below the other estimates and the number sits next to UK text, so scope is unclear
Europe Travel and Expense Management Software Market KBV Research via Research and Markets 2025 (listing date, Jan 2025) 2023 Germany alone USD 722.6M by 2031; total not visible 14.7% (2024 to 2031) Paywalled; only summary text seen
Europe SaaS-based Expense Management Market KBV Research Jul 2022 2021 Germany alone USD 422.6M by 2028; total not visible 10.5% (2022 to 2028) SaaS only; includes telecom expense management; paywalled

Why they disagree: the scopes differ. Next Move includes cards and embedded modules and counts services and card revenue; Data Bridge and KBV cover travel and expense software, and KBV's older report counts only SaaS. Base years also span 2021 to 2025, and the CAGRs run from 6.9% to 14.7%. I did not average them. The KBV Germany-only figure for 2031 (USD 722.6M) is on its own about a third of Next Move's 2025 Europe total, which suggests the T&E-only series are not tiny, and Data Bridge's USD 72.93M looks like an outlier or a mislabelled sub-segment (inference). Technavio publishes a global expense management report with a regional split, but I could not extract a Europe-specific value from the page.

Bottom-up build

Input Value Unit Source or assumption Confidence
EU enterprises, 2024 34.0M enterprises Eurostat, 30 Sep 2026 High
Share large (250+) 0.2% of enterprises Eurostat High
Share medium (50 to 249) 0.8% of enterprises Eurostat High
Small (10 to 49) enterprises 1.3M (range 1.0M to 1.6M) enterprises Assumption; Eurostat gives only a combined micro and small share of 99%, so I did not find the 10 to 49 count Low
Adoption, large / medium / small 45% / 30% / 8% (low 35/20/5; high 55/40/12) share of firms Assumption Low
Annual software spend, large / medium / small €35k / €10k / €2.5k (low 25k/8k/2k; high 50k/14k/3.5k) € per firm per year Assumption; cross-checked against vendor figures below Low to medium
Non-EU uplift 1.20 (1.10 to 1.30) multiplier Assumption Low

Vendor evidence used to sanity-check price points. Payhawk reported €25.9k annualised average revenue per account and €39.5M ARR for 2024 (company press release; Payhawk is skewed to larger accounts). Sacra reports Pleo ARR of EUR 164 million in Q4 2025 and over 40,000 customers by early 2025, which implies roughly €4k per customer (calculation; the two figures are from different dates and include card revenue).

Calculation (base case):

  1. Large firms: 34.0M × 0.2% = 68,000; × 45% adoption × €35k = €1,071M.
  2. Medium firms: 34.0M × 0.8% = 272,000; × 30% × €10k = €816M.
  3. Small firms: 1.3M × 8% × €2.5k = €260M.
  4. EU-27 total = €2,147M; × 1.20 uplift = €2,576M for Europe.

All outputs are derived by my script (results in data/bottom_up.json) from the inputs above. Before the uplift, large firms are about 50% of the base value, medium about 38% and small about 12%.

TAM / SAM / SOM

Growth and drivers

Forecast growth: published CAGRs range from 6.9% to 14.7%, with Next Move's broad-scope 9.6% in the middle. I found no official historical series for this product, so I have no sourced historical market growth. Vendors are growing faster than any forecast: Payhawk's ARR rose 78% in 2024, and Sacra estimates Pleo's revenue grew 33% in 2025 (estimate). Leaders gaining share from spreadsheets and legacy tools would explain this, but that is my inference.

Drivers:

Headwinds:

Segments

Segment Data Source
Germany share of Europe T&E software, 2024 28.5% Data Bridge
Cloud share of Europe T&E software, 2024 61.8% Data Bridge
Large enterprises (my base case, EU-27, before uplift) €1,071M (about 50%) Calculation from Eurostat counts and assumptions
Medium enterprises €816M (about 38%) Calculation
Small enterprises (10 to 49) €260M (about 12%) Calculation
Pleo revenue mix About 70% interchange, 30% SaaS Sacra estimate

Next Move segments by product type, revenue stream, deployment and enterprise size, but the segment values sit behind its paywall, so I report none of them. KBV expects Germany to lead and cites France growing at 11.3% and the UK at 9.6% (2022 to 2028) in the older SaaS series.

Sensitivity

Case Large / medium / small adoption Spend (large / medium / small) Uplift Europe TAM SAM
Low 35% / 20% / 5% €25k / €8k / €2k 1.10 €1.24B €0.59B
Base 45% / 30% / 8% €35k / €10k / €2.5k 1.20 €2.58B €1.29B
High 55% / 40% / 12% €50k / €14k / €3.5k 1.30 €5.28B €2.85B

All figures are calculations from my assumptions (see data/bottom_up.json). The result is most sensitive to large-enterprise adoption and annual spend per firm, which together move the large segment from €0.6B to €1.9B before uplift.

Caveats and gaps

Sources